538 Presidential Prediction 2024. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. This page displays the current 270towin polling average for each state.

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. It is an indirect election and candidates with a minority of the popular vote have won the presidency.